In theory 60% will be stronger then 40% but in the real test this is likely not to be true. The reasons can be
All the maumoons voters are vote maumoon again. Only a handful people might change sides or not turn up to vote. These are real supporters of maumoon. No matter what they see, what they hear they will not change their decision. They vote him it’s because he is maumoon, not because he is good or bad.
Hassan Saeed supporters are mostly from addu. They voted him to elect a president from addu. But now their hope on electing an addu president is gone. Now they will follow the Maldivians trend. Which is same as the results from other islands of Maldives. Which is over 50% of votes to maumoon from most of the islands.
Anni is labeled as a great activist, most people thinks he is not good for a president. Some people hate anni more than anyone. Some of these people did vote hassan saeed & gasim in the first round. But now it seems these people will not vote anni. These people will either vote maumoon or they will not go to vote. It will be never win for maumoon as less turnout from the 60% means 40% will get higher share when the total turn out is less.
Yameem in the lead means he will use more dirty tactics to win votes next time. These will include fake voter registries, smart briberies & blackmailing.
Let’s see if the math’s is true in real world. To maumoon 1 + 1 does not necessarily means 2.
4 comments:
Anni needs to get 72.85% Votes from the 56639 votes which is 33.84% of the total votes cast to Hassan Umar and Ibra. On the other hand Maumoon just have to get 30% to get a win.
The road ahead is long. We need to work hard to get rid of the Dictator Maumoon.
I dont think maldivians will ever be united.. all are too selfish..
need to unite. otherwise we'll lose the chance of a life time ot get rid of the dictator. no need to let him go after he completes any numberof terms he wants. so this is the only time we can kick his arse. lets do it. UNITE FOR CHANGE
Post a Comment